Analisis Teknikal USD/CHF

[bravo]

Dimulai dgn Bismillah
Tujuan thread nie dibuka sebab takde lagi thread utk pair USD/CHF, sebagai newbie dlm dunia forex pelik dibuatnya knape x ramai main pair USD/CHF nie.

sy suka pair nie sebab mudah dibaca pergerakkannya serta kebanyakkan hari ada trend, lagi satu sebab biasa kena TP saje main pair nie :D utk bulan MAC 2007 semuanya kena TP itu pun follow signal sifu bukan drpd analisis sy.

apapun sesape yg biasa main pair nie boleh menyumbang pendapat dan apa-2 saje yg berkaitan, pandangan anda amat dialu-alukan. t kasih semua

[fayeez]

alo bravo, thanx sbb bukak thread ni , aku antara yang main pair ni..still newbie gak ....huhu

[bono79]

wah bagus la bravo bravo...mmg bravo...:D

ape pon, aku jarang maen pair ni...x kenal maka x chenta kan...so sapa2 yg biasa maen sini, know their nature, leh tlg2 ajo sini...semoga murah rezeki...amin...:D

[bravo]

syukur dpt 13 pips kat USD/CHF nie, sell kat 1.2161 close 1.2148, apapun tq sifu atas signal tadi :D

[NEMO]

syukur dpt 13 pips kat USD/CHF nie, sell kat 1.2161 close 1.2148, apapun tq sifu atas signal tadi :D

lo..nape xpaste je signal tu sini...:D

[anbu-san]

tu da cam wat jurnal jek tu....aku x nampak pun analisisnye
apo la ku pikirkan ko bukak thread leh kongsi analisis hehe sekali yg ada tunjuk dapat bape pips jek kahkahkah

[zuldeu]

pair usd/chf ni kelembapan dier seakan-akan EU cuma terbalik aje dari EU .. tapi selamat nak main kalau nak dibandingkan dengan GJ atau GU.. ni sikit analisa elliot wave aku ambik dari satu website tu..

Wave counting on 480 min chart:
http://alpari-idc.ru/files/pic/docs/2/24867_1065.gif

Wave counting on a daily chart. Main scenario.
http://alpari-idc.ru/files/pic/docs/1/24572_492.gif

[anbu-san]

hah baru btol hehe ada analisis sket dr zuldeu walau ceduk dr website lain
aku pair ni main guna sidus je muahaha mmg mengancam sekali jalan fuh
tp bab analisis x reti le aku buat hehe tggu masuk kelas EW dulu

[NEMO]

tu da cam wat jurnal jek tu....aku x nampak pun analisisnye
apo la ku pikirkan ko bukak thread leh kongsi analisis hehe sekali yg ada tunjuk dapat bape pips jek kahkahkah

tu la pasal..tau2 ckp dpt 13pip...:D

[anbu-san]

tu la pasal..tau2 ckp dpt 13pip...:D

hehe nasib le, nampaknye nemo kt kene pegi kelas EW soros ni hehe baru gempak nak wat analisis :D

[bravo]

sorrylah semua,sy pun newbie juga masuk pakai signal sifu,apapun nie ada info skit pasal pair nie

Last: 1.214
Pivot: 1.2169
1st sup. 1.211
2nd sup. 1.2086
3rd sup. 1.2077
1st res. 1.2169
2nd res. 1.2193
3rd res. 1.2215

harap2 dpt membantu semua :D

[bijak_sinner]

menurut software elliot wave analyzer aku..
time frame 4 hours..

http://img2.freeimagehosting.net/uploads/th.2f893eeab6.jpg (http://img2.freeimagehosting.net/image.php?2f893eeab6.jpg)

There are no valid Elliott Wave trades available at this time. Stay out of the market.

Extensive Elliott Commentary for USDCHF240 (Daily) on 23-Mar-2007 with one incomplete pattern:

Wave 4 of the Primary degree inverted Ending Diagonal with a rating of 101.3 is expected to complete in the price range 1.2142 to 1.2306, but more probably between 1.2142 and 1.2236. This wave is due to complete anytime from now until 11-Apr-2007, but is most likely to complete before 27-Mar-2007.

Expect this wave 4 to complete in the price range of wave 2, and then continue down to the end of wave 5, which should be a ZigZag family three wave pattern. Expect wave 5 to have between 45% and 87% of the price range of wave 3 and complete in 33% to 95% of the time taken by wave 3. Expect also that wave 5 will have between 39% and 88% of the price range of wave 1 and complete in 18% to 70% of the time taken by wave 1. The slope (ie. price range divided by time taken) of wave 5 should be between 67% and 191% of the slope of wave 3 and between 80% to 264% of the slope of wave 1. Wave 5 will complete this Ending Diagonal pattern.

Current Analysis Settings:
Analysis Date Range: 02-Jan-2007 to 23-Mar-2007, Label Range: 7 - 30, Preferred Count Labels: 22, Min Rating: 75, Stocks toggle OFF, Bias Towards Beginning of Data: 8, Bias Towards Major High/Low: 8, Largest Degree Wave Filter: Any Pattern

[bravo]

Pivot: 1.2156
1st sup. 1.2116
2nd sup. 1.208
3rd sup. 1.206
1st res. 1.2156
2nd res. 1.217
3rd res. 1.2186

semoga membantu

[bijak_sinner]

http://i2.turboimagehost.com/t/293600_1.jpg (http://i.turboimagehost.com/p/293600/1.jpg.html)

tf h4

Current Trading Positions for USDCHF240 (USDCHF240) Daily on 30-Mar-2007

* An Intermediate degree trader (hold positions from months to quarters), would currently be trading long in this market. The probability of this Target Area being correct is 86.3%. However, the random probability of this Target Area being correct is 64.1%. So the true probability of this Target Area being correct is 34.6% better than random.

Extensive Elliott Commentary for USDCHF240 (Daily) on 30-Mar-2007 with two incomplete patterns:

Wave (Y) of the Intermediate degree inverted Double 3 with a rating of 93.9 is expected to complete in the price range 1.2142 to 1.313, but more probably between 1.232 and 1.2669. This wave could complete anytime between now and 05-May-2000, but is most likely to complete sometime between 06-Apr-2007 and 28-Apr-2007.

Wave (Y) will probably complete this Double Sideways pattern, although it could possibly extend into a Triple Sideways pattern.

This is the final wave in the pattern. When complete it will also complete wave B of the Primary degree Flat with a rating of 90.5. These two waves have the same target ranges.

After wave B is complete, expect the market to continue down into wave C, which should be a five wave Impulsive pattern. Expect wave C to retrace wave B by 93% - 176%. Wave C can also be expected to be 109% - 176% of the price length of wave A. The expected time for wave C to complete is 59% - 248% of the time taken for wave B to complete and 117% - 379% of the time taken for wave A to complete.


Current Analysis Settings:
Analysis Date Range: 02-Jan-2000 to 30-Mar-2000, Label Range: 7 - 30, Preferred Count Labels: 26, Min Rating: 75, Stocks toggle OFF, Bias Towards Beginning of Data: 8, Bias Towards Major High/Low: 8, Largest Degree Wave Filter: Any Pattern

[bijak_sinner]

http://i2.turboimagehost.com/t/294397_1.jpg (http://i.turboimagehost.com/p/294397/1.jpg.html)

tf h4

Current Trading Positions for USDCHF240 (USDCHF240) Daily on 30-Mar-2007

* An Intermediate degree trader (hold positions from months to quarters), would currently be trading long in this market. The probability of this Target Area being correct is 86.3%. However, the random probability of this Target Area being correct is 64.1%. So the true probability of this Target Area being correct is 34.6% better than random.

Extensive Elliott Commentary for USDCHF240 (Daily) on 30-Mar-2007 with two incomplete patterns:

Wave (Y) of the Intermediate degree inverted Double 3 with a rating of 94 is expected to complete in the price range 1.2142 to 1.313, but more probably between 1.232 and 1.2669. This wave could complete anytime between now and 05-May-2007, but is most likely to complete sometime between 06-Apr-2007 and 28-Apr-2007.

Wave (Y) will probably complete this Double Sideways pattern, although it could possibly extend into a Triple Sideways pattern.

This is the final wave in the pattern. When complete it will also complete wave B of the Primary degree Flat with a rating of 90.6. These two waves have the same target ranges.

After wave B is complete, expect the market to continue down into wave C, which should be a five wave Impulsive pattern. Expect wave C to retrace wave B by 93% - 176%. Wave C can also be expected to be 109% - 176% of the price length of wave A. The expected time for wave C to complete is 59% - 248% of the time taken for wave B to complete and 117% - 379% of the time taken for wave A to complete.

Current Analysis Settings:
Analysis Date Range: 02-Jan-2007 to 30-Mar-2007, Label Range: 7 - 30, Preferred Count Labels: 26, Min Rating: 75, Stocks toggle OFF, Bias Towards Beginning of Data: 8, Bias Towards Major High/Low: 8, Largest Degree Wave Filter: Any Pattern

[bijak_sinner]

http://i2.turboimagehost.com/t/298481_1.jpg (http://i.turboimagehost.com/p/298481/1.jpg.html)

There are no valid Elliott Wave trades available at this time. Stay out of the market.

Extensive Elliott Commentary for USDCHF240 (Daily) on 06-Apr-2007 with one incomplete pattern:

Wave B of the Primary degree Zigzag with a rating of 97.5 is expected to complete in the price range 1.2061 to 1.2571, but more probably between 1.2153 and 1.2354. This wave is due to complete anytime from now until 21-Nov-2007, but is most likely to complete before 28-Apr-2007.

After wave B is complete, expect the market to continue down into wave C, which should be a five wave impulsive pattern. Expect wave C to retrace wave B by 144% - 330%. Wave C can also be expected to be 52% - 330% of the price length of wave A. The expected time for wave C to complete is 77% - 360% of the time taken for wave B to complete and 47% - 192% of the time taken for wave A to complete.

Current Analysis Settings:
Analysis Date Range: 02-Jan-2007 to 06-Apr-2007, Label Range: 7 - 30, Preferred Count Labels: 9, Min Rating: 75, Stocks toggle OFF, Bias Towards Beginning of Data: 8, Bias Towards Major High/Low: 8, Largest Degree Wave Filter: Any Pattern

[zenocorp]

lets go short at 1.2228.

[anne_81]

Tak ramai yg suka trade swissy yek..
Maybe sebab satu pip worth less than usd10..

[pencai]

pair usd/chf ni kelembapan dier seakan-akan EU cuma terbalik aje dari EU .. tapi selamat nak main kalau nak dibandingkan dengan GJ atau GU.. ni sikit analisa elliot wave aku ambik dari satu website tu..

Wave counting on 480 min chart:
http://alpari-idc.ru/files/pic/docs/2/24867_1065.gif

Wave counting on a daily chart. Main scenario.
http://alpari-idc.ru/files/pic/docs/1/24572_492.gif


perhh!! analisa aku pun tak reti baca heheh ;)

[anne_81]

Ni kalkulus ke, trigonometri ke apa ke..hehe..jgn mare..

[fathom11]

usd chf....

makne nyer nak turun lagi ker....:confused:

[anne_81]

usd chf....

makne nyer nak turun lagi ker....:confused:

Begitulah gamaknya...chf ni counter trend ngan euro. euro pun looks bullish.

[bijak_sinner]

tf h4

http://i2.turboimagehost.com/t/306010_1.jpg (http://i.turboimagehost.com/p/306010/1.jpg.html)

There are no valid Elliott Wave trades available at this time. Stay out of the market.

Extensive Elliott Commentary for USDCHF240 (Daily) on 20-Apr-2007 with one incomplete pattern:

Wave Y of the Primary degree Double Zigzag with a rating of 104 is expected to complete in the price range 1.142 to 1.1882, but more probably between 1.1577 and 1.1845. This wave could complete anytime between now and 31-Aug-2007, but is most likely to complete sometime between 04-May-2007 and 28-Jun-2007.

Wave Y will probably complete this Double Sharp pattern, although it could possibly extend into a Triple Sharp pattern.

[bijak_sinner]

tf h4

http://img527.imageshack.us/img527/4...board01ii0.jpg

There are no valid Elliott Wave trades available at this time. Stay out of the market.

Extensive Elliott Commentary for USDCHF240 (Daily) on 04-May-2007 with one incomplete pattern:

Wave B of the Primary degree Flat with a rating of 101.7 is expected to complete in the price range 1.2378 to 1.3354, but more probably between 1.2453 and 1.2843. This wave could complete anytime between now and 23-Jan-2002, but is most likely to complete sometime between 30-May-2007 and 22-Sep-2007.

After wave B is complete, expect the market to continue down into wave C, which should be a five wave Impulsive pattern. Expect wave C to retrace wave B by 89% - 172%. Wave C can also be expected to be 94% - 172% of the price length of wave A. The expected time for wave C to complete is 50% - 236% of the time taken for wave B to complete and 53% - 211% of the time taken for wave A to complete.

[bijak_sinner]

tf h4

http://img99.imageshack.us/img99/1095/clipboard01nt2.jpg

There are no valid Elliott Wave trades available at this time. Stay out of the market.

Extensive Elliott Commentary for USDCHF240 (Daily) on 11-May-2007 with one incomplete pattern:

Wave B of the Primary degree Flat with a rating of 101.7 is expected to complete in the price range 1.2378 to 1.3354, but more probably between 1.2453 and 1.2843. This wave could complete anytime between now and 24-Jan-2002, but is most likely to complete sometime between 31-May-2007 and 25-Sep-2007.

After wave B is complete, expect the market to continue down into wave C, which should be a five wave Impulsive pattern. Expect wave C to retrace wave B by 89% - 172%. Wave C can also be expected to be 94% - 172% of the price length of wave A. The expected time for wave C to complete is 50% - 236% of the time taken for wave B to complete and 53% - 211% of the time taken for wave A to complete.

[mantoyaa]

rasenya isnin ni or selasa ni maybe usd/chf turun balik kot... lagipun stoch15,3,3 utk daily dah overbought and hampir cross maybe follow downtrend dia 100ema, 50ema... mcm tak bule nak up atas lagi resistance dia je 1.2200... tapi dia nak up pun bule gak follow RSI (9) yg sedang tengah up positive.. tunggu and lihat je la ...

[realmxme]

rasenya isnin ni or selasa ni maybe usd/chf turun balik kot... lagipun stoch15,3,3 utk daily dah overbought and hampir cross maybe follow downtrend dia 100ema, 50ema... mcm tak bule nak up atas lagi resistance dia je 1.2200... tapi dia nak up pun bule gak follow RSI (9) yg sedang tengah up positive.. tunggu and lihat je la ...

Apa yang aku nampak dia nak naik dulu ke atas..

Ni resistant yg akan dia jumpa, kalau break R1 dia akan ke R2.. choppy tu biasalah... jgn keliru sudey. Ni aku tengok berdasarkan major trend..

R1 1.2258
R2 1.2500

So berhati2 di jalan raya... Pandu cermat jiwa selamat. :)

[bijak_sinner]

tf h4

http://img508.imageshack.us/img508/3134/clipboard01jm4.th.jpg (http://img508.imageshack.us/my.php?image=clipboard01jm4.jpg)

There are no valid Elliott Wave trades available at this time. Stay out of the market.

Extensive Elliott Commentary for USDCHF240 (Daily) on 18-May-2007 with one incomplete pattern:

Wave B of the Primary degree Flat with a rating of 102.1 is expected to complete in the price range 1.2378 to 1.3354, but more probably between 1.2453 and 1.2843. This wave could complete anytime between now and 25-Jan-2002, but is most likely to complete sometime between 01-Jun-2007 and 25-Sep-2007.

After wave B is complete, expect the market to continue down into wave C, which should be a five wave Impulsive pattern. Expect wave C to retrace wave B by 89% - 172%. Wave C can also be expected to be 94% - 172% of the price length of wave A. The expected time for wave C to complete is 50% - 236% of the time taken for wave B to complete and 53% - 211% of the time taken for wave A to complete.


Current Analysis Settings:
Analysis Date Range: 01-Jan-2007 to 18-May-2007, Label Range: 7 - 30, Preferred Count Labels: 10, Min Rating: 75, Stocks toggle OFF, Bias Towards Beginning of Data: 8, Bias Towards Major High/Low: 8, Largest Degree Wave Filter: Any Pattern

[realmxme]

Apa yang aku nampak dia nak naik dulu ke atas..

Ni resistant yg akan dia jumpa, kalau break R1 dia akan ke R2.. choppy tu biasalah... jgn keliru sudey. Ni aku tengok berdasarkan major trend..

R1 1.2258
R2 1.2500

So berhati2 di jalan raya... Pandu cermat jiwa selamat. :)

Syukur R1 accomplish.. tinggal R2 pula.. swing mode :)

[mantoyaa]

rasenya esok price turun banyak kot.. price just below 200ema daily..

[bijak_sinner]

tf h4

http://img263.imageshack.us/img263/7136/clipboard01mv8.th.jpg (http://img263.imageshack.us/my.php?image=clipboard01mv8.jpg)

There are no valid Elliott Wave trades available at this time. Stay out of the market.

Extensive Elliott Commentary for USDCHF240 (Daily) on 25-May-2007 with one incomplete pattern:

Wave B of the Primary degree Flat with a rating of 102.7 is expected to complete in the price range 1.2378 to 1.3354, but more probably between 1.2453 and 1.2843. This wave could complete anytime between now and 25-Jan-2002, but is most likely to complete sometime between 02-Jun-2007 and 26-Sep-2007.

After wave B is complete, expect the market to continue down into wave C, which should be a five wave Impulsive pattern. Expect wave C to retrace wave B by 89% - 172%. Wave C can also be expected to be 94% - 172% of the price length of wave A. The expected time for wave C to complete is 50% - 236% of the time taken for wave B to complete and 53% - 211% of the time taken for wave A to complete.


Current Analysis Settings:
Analysis Date Range: 01-Jan-2007 to 25-May-2007, Label Range: 7 - 30, Preferred Count Labels: 10, Min Rating: 75, Stocks toggle OFF, Bias Towards Beginning of Data: 8, Bias Towards Major High/Low: 8, Largest Degree Wave Filter: Any Pattern

[kevler]

boleh short lagi kali nih ..

[wrwmhamizah]

boleh... aku dah short

[AlKepong]

Aku akan tunggu dia break present range- 12237 utk sell 12257 utk buy. Pendapat aku, lepas range tu baru ada movement sikit.

Pendapat aku la.

[bijak_sinner]

tf h4

http://img171.imageshack.us/img171/2662/clipboard01gw8.th.jpg (http://img171.imageshack.us/my.php?image=clipboard01gw8.jpg)

Current Trading Positions for USDCHF240 (USDCHF240) Daily on 01-Jun-2007

* A Minor degree trader (hold positions from weeks to quarters), would currently be trading long in this market. The probability of this Target Area being correct is 66.8%. However, the random probability of this Target Area being correct is 53.0%. So the true probability of this Target Area being correct is 26.0% better than random.

* An Intermediate degree trader (hold positions from months to quarters), would currently be shorting this market. The probability of this Target Area being correct is 86.8%. However, the random probability of this Target Area being correct is 65.0%. So the true probability of this Target Area being correct is 33.5% better than random.

Extensive Elliott Commentary for USDCHF240 (Daily) on 01-Jun-2007 with three incomplete patterns:

Wave X of the Minor degree Double 3 with a rating of 102.9 is expected to complete in the price range 1.2248 to 1.278, but more probably between 1.231 and 1.2369. This wave is most likely to complete sometime between 05-Jun-2007 and 19-Jun-2007 Note that it cannot complete until 02-Jun-2007 but must complete by 22-Aug-2007.

After wave X is complete, expect the market to continue down into wave Y, which will probably be a three wave corrective pattern. Expect wave Y to retrace wave X by 100% - 196%. Wave Y can also be expected to be 94% - 196% of the price length of wave W. The expected time for wave Y to complete is 67% - 267% of the time taken for wave X to complete and 76% - 292% of the time taken for wave W to complete.

Wave (X) of the Intermediate degree inverted Double Zigzag with a rating of 98.4 is expected to complete in the price range 1.1996 to 1.2269, but more probably between 1.2066 and 1.2199. This wave could complete anytime between now and 08-Sep-2007, but is most likely to complete sometime between 06-Jun-2007 and 12-Jul-2007.

After wave (X) is complete, expect the market to continue up into wave (Y), which should be a three wave Zigzag pattern. Expect wave (Y) to retrace wave (X) by 173% - 376%. Wave (Y) can also be expected to be 103% - 376% of the price length of wave (W). The expected time for wave (Y) to complete is 61% - 248% of the time taken for wave (X) to complete and 87% - 274% of the time taken for wave (W) to complete.

Wave B of the Primary degree Flat with a rating of 94.4 is expected to complete in the price range 1.2373 to 1.3455, but more probably between 1.2445 and 1.2839. This wave is due to complete anytime from now until 19-Sep-2008, but is most likely to complete before 11-Aug-2007.

After wave B is complete, expect the market to continue down into wave C, which should be a five wave Impulsive pattern. Expect wave C to retrace wave B by 92% - 169%. Wave C can also be expected to be 100% - 169% of the price length of wave A. The expected time for wave C to complete is 46% - 202% of the time taken for wave B to complete and 46% - 163% of the time taken for wave A to complete.


Current Analysis Settings:
Analysis Date Range: 06-Feb-2007 to 01-Jun-2007, Label Range: 7 - 30, Preferred Count Labels: 29, Min Rating: 75, Stocks toggle ON, Bias Towards Beginning of Data: 8, Bias Towards Major High/Low: 8, Largest Degree Wave Filter: Any Pattern

[warrior trader]

boleh... aku dah short

POSITION SELL:
TAKE PROFIT : 1.0975
STOP LOSS : 30 PIPS
SIGNAL VALID BY TODAY OR NEWS

TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK
:biggrin::biggrin::biggrin:

[cino]

ngeh2..ngeh..uchf aku buy..check in out:biggrin:

[ammal07]

uc for today..DT, mungkin boleh sampai fibo 50 (109.20)..

[ammal07]

http://usera.imagecave.com/ammal07/usdchf/uch42402.gif

[ammal07]

naik, jangan tak naik...

http://usera.imagecave.com/ammal07/usdchf/uch12702.gif

[ammal07]

http://usera.imagecave.com/ammal07/usdchf/uch42802.gif

[ammal07]

http://usera.imagecave.com/ammal07/usdchf/uch12802.gif

[ammal07]

http://usera.imagecave.com/ammal07/usdchf/ucm300403.gif

[ammal07]

http://usera.imagecave.com/ammal07/usdchf/ucm300403b.gif

[puteh_linux]

bro tanye sket
pair ni ada time trade yg sesuai tak bro?

[ammal07]

http://usera.imagecave.com/ammal07/usdchf/uch11503.gif

[ammal07]

bro tanye sket
pair ni ada time trade yg sesuai tak bro?

pair ni bila masa pun boleh trade..24jam sehari...

[ammal07]

http://usera.imagecave.com/ammal07/usdchf/uch12203.gif

ramalan minggu depan..

[ammal07]

http://usera.imagecave.com/ammal07/usdchf/uch42704.gif

[ammal07]

http://usera.imagecave.com/ammal07/ucjun/uch41406.gif

[ammal07]

http://usera.imagecave.com/ammal07/ucjun/uch42006.gif

kalau nak terus ke atas pun tak ada masalah, jalan baru dah ada..

[ammal07]

tertekan reply 2 kali,website hang lama sgt...

[ammal07]

yang terbaru, kedua-dua tp dah capai, dan dah masuk ke lorong yg menghala ke bawah..

[ammal07]

http://usera.imagecave.com/ammal07/usdchf/uch41307.gif

[kni]

yang terbaru, kedua-dua tp dah capai, dan dah masuk ke lorong yg menghala ke bawah..

bro ammal... takde update lagi???:smile:

[STRATEGIST]

H4 forecast
Ascending trend, target of movement 1.1536, support 1.1000 and 1.0838.
http://forexmillion.com/uploads/fotos/1229874036_uc-h.gif